Development and validation of a preliminary multivariable diagnostic model for identifying unusual infections in hospitalized patients
Diagnostic delay leads to poor outcomes in infections, and it occurs more often when the causative agent is unusual. Delays are attributable to failing to consider such diagnoses in a timely fashion. Using routinely collected electronic health record (EHR) data, we built a preliminary multivariable diagnostic model for early identification of unusual fungal infections and tuberculosis in hospitalized patients. We conducted a two-gate case-control study. Cases encompassed adult patients admitted to 19 Mayo Clinic enterprise hospitals between January 2010 and March 2023 diagnosed with blastomycosis, cryptococcosis, histoplasmosis, mucormycosis, pneumocystosis, or tuberculosis. Control groups were drawn from all admitted patients (random controls) and those with community-acquired infections (ID-controls). Development and validation datasets were created using randomization for dividing cases and controls (7:3), with a secondary validation using ID-controls. A logistic regression model wa