Body mass index and survival in people with heart failure

Aims In people with heart failure (HF), a high body mass index (BMI) has been linked with better outcomes (‘obesity paradox’), but there is limited evidence in community populations across long-term follow-up. We aimed to examine the association between BMI and long-term survival in patients with HF in a large primary care cohort. Methods We included patients with incident HF aged ≥45 years from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (2000–2017). We used Kaplan-Meier curves, Cox regression and penalised spline methods to assess the association of pre-diagnostic BMI, based on WHO classification, with all-cause mortality. Results There were 47 531 participants with HF (median age 78.0 years (IQR 70–84), 45.8% female, 79.0% white ethnicity, median BMI 27.1 (IQR 23.9–31.0)) and 25 013 (52.6%) died during follow-up. Compared with healthy weight, people with overweight (HR 0.78, 95% CI 0.75 to 0.81, risk difference (RD) −4.1%), obesity class I (HR 0.76, 95% CI 0.73 to 0.80, RD −4.5%) and cl

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